The senator who calls himself the 51st vote the country needs has spent the last two years missing almost every meeting it.
"Why do I have to keep meeting with chop."
"I'm convinced they just want free trips to DC."
— Senator John Fetterman, in texts to an aide, as reported by The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal ran an investigation on September 3 with the most damning headline it could assemble without printing the text messages: "Behind Closed Doors, John Fetterman Shows Little Interest in [the Work of a Senator]." Reporting by Will Hobson and Siobhan Hughes, built on more than a dozen accounts from people on Capitol Hill and messages from the senator himself, documents a pattern rather than an incident. The Pennsylvania Democrat who has styled himself as the swing vote of the coming Congress has, for all practical purposes, stopped showing up to the job he was elected to do.
The details are worse than the pattern. Fetterman missed eleven of the twelve full hearings of his assigned committees, the Journal reported. He canceled a meeting with three paralyzed veterans, claiming he felt sick, and then appeared on a Fox News interview less than an hour later, looking perfectly fine. He declined to attend the funeral of three police officers killed in the line of duty in his hometown of York, Pennsylvania, because the service ran three hours and carried a dress code. Representatives of the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia came to his office worried that Medicaid cuts could strand children's treatments. The senator, according to a text exchange the Journal obtained, was not worried.
Spotlight PA reported that Fetterman regularly spends working hours scrolling his phone, reading X and Apple News for mentions of his name. The Journal found him investing his time instead in "cultivating relationships with conservative media figures and advocating for Israel." In most American jobs, this behavior has a name, and the name ends in terminated benefits. In the Senate, it is just called a schedule.
Fetterman's response to the investigation was the one thing the investigation did not predict: a full denial. He called the reporting "lies, half-truths, innuendos, [and] smears" pushed by "disgruntled staffers" who are anonymous because they are anonymous. It is a standard line, and a dead one, for a simple reason.
The staffers are no longer anonymous. Tré Easton, one of Fetterman's closest advisors for years, has described him as a "soulless ghoul" who is "fundamentally unfit for public office," according to The New York Times. A social media account purportedly run by former aides is teasing a stream of stories and screenshots that will, in the account's words, "show Pennsylvanians exactly who their senator is." Newsweek and others have run headlines built around calls for his resignation. The senator's office denies everything. His former staff are publishing everything. In this fight, the side with receipts is the one that got fired.
Then came the convention. On the first night of the Republican midterm convention in Dallas, the senator who has been absent from so much of his own state showed up on the main stage. Or rather, a pre-recorded video of him did. Shot on a Pennsylvania steel plant floor, he introduced his Republican colleague, Senator Dave McCormick, called him "a great American and friend," and pledged to "work with" President Trump to defend what he called the Steel Way of Life. He is, his statement said, "a lifelong Democrat who votes overwhelmingly with my party."
He was also, in the same breath, the 51st vote. "Should the Senate flip in November, I will still be the 51st vote that I ran on," the statement read. That is a remarkable sentence to send from the floor of the other party's convention, and it has put the arithmetic of the entire Senate on fire. Even his cameo at the opposition's convention was pre-recorded. The only appointments John Fetterman keeps are the ones he schedules in advance.
Here is the math the Democrats cannot say out loud. Republicans hold a three-seat majority in the Senate. Democrats believe they are four seats away from flipping it. If they do, Fetterman becomes the 51st vote, the hinge on which every bill and nomination turns. And if Fetterman, in the months after that, simply decides he is done being a Democrat, the chamber goes back to 50 to 50 and Vice President JD Vance holds the tie-breaking vote. The nightmare scenario is not a coup. It is a resignation letter.
So the Democrats are doing the quiet thing loudly but softly. Senator Peter Welch, a friend, told POLITICO that getting "spun up" about Fetterman "is a waste of energy" because he "votes with us 90 percent of the time." Chuck Schumer calls him "a very good member of Congress." Multiple Senate Democrats declined to comment on the record. In Washington, that is called staying above the fray. In Pennsylvania, where a New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena poll found him at 22 percent favorable among Democrats and 73 percent among Republicans, it is called ignoring a problem. In one recent survey, an option labeled "someone else" beat him by 18 points. He is the only sitting senator more popular with Republicans than with Democrats, and the most popular thing about him is the abstract concept of his absence.
Adam Jentleson, Fetterman's first Senate chief of staff, who resigned in 2024 citing concerns about the senator's mental health, sees the future differently. "If the Senate is evenly divided and his seat is the difference between one party controlling or the other, there's a very high likelihood that he would switch or become independent," he told WUNC's Juana Summers this week. His advice to Democrats: stop watching the door, and go win the seats.
Fetterman keeps denying a switch, with one footnote he now volunteers. In a May Washington Post op-ed, he wrote that he had "no plans to leave" the Democratic Party and would be a "terrible Republican who still votes overwhelmingly with Democrats." In July, at the Hill Nation summit, he said, "If I was going to, I would have already done that." But he also laid out a condition, and it is the reason his own party handles him with such care: he would abandon the Democrats, he has said, if they become "the anti-Israel party."
That is the real axis of the drift. He has spent two years staking out positions on Israel that his party will not stake out, and he was, according to Time, one of the seven Senate Democrats who voted with Republicans in April to keep arms sales to Israel going during the war in Gaza. The New York magazine reports that on Israel and Palestine he takes key advice from a man named David Safier, a pro-Israel activist who is not a staffer or paid adviser, who "just kind of appeared" at his office, and who has since helped arrange private talks with Israeli leaders. Ask why the convention video, and not the children's hospital, got the senator's attention, and the answer stops being about parties. It is about a direction of travel.
Underneath all of it runs a second story, one his office will never confirm and everyone on the Hill will only whisper. Fetterman survived a near-fatal brain aneurysm in 2024. The same year, a Maryland state police report assigned a highway crash to him, and staff told The New York Times at the time that he "often made video calls and read news articles on his phone while driving." Jentleson, who raised those concerns when he left, says they are still real. "He is entitled to struggle. He is entitled to get help," he said. "I think he's not necessarily entitled to a Senate seat."
On the Senate floor, the effect is visible: a man who frequently sits alone during votes, an office colleagues describe as "insular," and a practice the Journal reported of seeking advice on how to be marked present and then leave. Whether this is health or habit or both does not change the ledger. It only changes who gets to be blamed.
Congress is back in session, and the account run by his former staffers is due to publish its next round of texts. The midterms are seven weeks out, and the entire future of the Senate now routes through a question a 57-year-old former gas station manager keeps refusing to answer on the record.
The question isn't whether John Fetterman is leaving the Democratic Party. The question is whether Pennsylvania will notice he has already stopped showing up, before the vote that makes his absence worth more than his presence.
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